The Dangote Refinery has significantly increased Nigeria’s domestic petrol supply by 64% to 32 million litres per day in December 2025, up from 19.5 million litres in November. This surge has led to a 19% decline in fuel imports, which fell to 42.2 million litres daily. The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) credits the refinery’s substantial contribution, with a 62.94% average daily capacity utilization, for this growth.
As a result, petrol consumption has risen by 20.4% to 63.7 million litres, marking a notable shift in Nigeria’s fuel landscape. The refinery’s impact extends to the country’s economy, with projections indicating a GDP growth increase from 4.15% in 2024 to 6.21% by 2030. The refinery is already supplying over 50 million liters of fuel daily, stabilizing the market and reducing reliance on imports.
Key Impacts of the Dangote Refinery:
Job Creation: Thousands of jobs are expected, stimulating economic growth.
Fuel Security: Nigeria transitions from scarcity to abundance, meeting 100% of domestic demand and exporting surplus products.
Economic Growth: The refinery is expected to boost Nigeria’s economy by $400 billion over the next six years.
However, concerns about potential monopoly and unfair competition have been raised, urging the government to ensure fair access to storage and transportation facilities.
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